BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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West Des Moines Dowling

Class: 4A Class Rank: 4 Conference: (18-5) Overall: (19-6) Overall Strength =   89.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Home    W *  89.23  66   52   4A   23 ( 9-14) WDM Valley             -0.79     14.79                      
  2 12/04/2004 Home    W    86.99  61   45   3A   17 (12-13) Davenport Assumption   -3.03     19.03                      
  3 12/07/2004 Away    W *  97.49  58   37   4A   27 (11-11) Ottumwa                 7.47     13.53                      
  4 12/10/2004 Home    W * 106.10  76   44   4A   25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk         16.08     15.92                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    L *  78.96  63   64   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown          -11.06     10.06                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    W *  77.54  67   65   4A   28 ( 8-16) Indianola             -12.48     14.48                      
  7 12/21/2004 Away    W * 114.55  64   20   4A   37 ( 8-14) Des Moines Lincoln     24.53     19.47                      
  8 01/07/2005 Home    W * 111.55  75   42   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                 21.53     11.47                      
  9 01/14/2005 Away    L *  84.34  51   52   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               -5.68      4.68                      
 10 01/18/2005 Home    W *  97.35  59   28   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City              7.33     23.67                      
 11 01/21/2005 Home    L *  60.25  37   59   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale             -29.77      7.77                      
 12 01/24/2005 Away    L *  80.00  49   55   4A   10 (15- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt  -10.02      4.02  was 01/04/05 now 01/24/05
 13 01/28/2005 Away    W *  78.45  77   76   4A   25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk        -11.57     12.57                      
 14 02/01/2005 Home    W * 100.20  81   53   4A   28 ( 8-16) Indianola              10.18     17.82                      
 15 02/04/2005 Away    L *  76.89  50   55   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                -13.13      8.13                      
 16 02/08/2005 Home    W *  87.37  60   54   4A   14 (18- 4) Ames                   -2.65      8.65                      
 17 02/11/2005 Home    W *  88.99  61   54   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               -1.03      8.03                      
 18 02/15/2005 Away    W *  97.56  63   53   4A    7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover       7.54      2.46                      
 19 02/18/2005 Away    W *  87.59  51   49   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale              -2.43      4.43                      
 20 02/22/2005 Away    W *  91.66  77   60   4A   29 ( 7-16) Fort Dodge              1.64     15.36                      
 21 02/25/2005 Home    W *  83.11  80   77   4A   15 (14-10) Des Moines East        -6.91      9.91                      
 22 03/01/2005 Home    W *  92.05  92   61   4A   45 ( 4-17) Des Moines North        2.03 *   28.97                      
 23 03/04/2005 Away    W * 103.00  78   61   4A   10 (15- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt   12.98      4.02                      
 24 03/08/2005 Neutral W *  97.89  63   51   4A    7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover       7.87      4.13                      
 25 03/16/2005 Neutral L    81.37  54   66   4A    2 (21- 4) Sioux City East        -8.65     -3.35                      
      Averages              90.02  64.5 53.3

Best game:  114.55 = 44 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game:  60.25 = 22 point loss to Urbandale
Team stdev:  12.21